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Strategy , Commercial Real Estate

How Can I Reduce Risk During the Commercial Real Estate Process?

By Jonathan Keyser
October 29, 2025

A Strategic Guide to Real Estate Risk Management

Every commercial real estate decision—whether it’s leasing an office, building a manufacturing plant, expanding a medical facility, or acquiring warehouse or retail space—carries inherent risk. Market shifts, construction delays, zoning issues, and inaccurate projections can all impact a company’s bottom line. The good news is that these risks are both identifiable and manageable—with the right strategy, data, and representation.

At Keyser, we believe that risk management begins long before a lease is signed or a site is selected. It starts with information, strategy, and alignment—ensuring that every decision supports your long-term business goals.

  1. Start With a Comprehensive Risk Assessment

Before touring properties or negotiating terms, it’s critical to understand where your exposure lies.

  • Operational risks – Will the space support future growth, technology needs, or evolving workforce patterns?
  • Market risks – Are rental rates, absorption, and vacancy trends moving in your favor?
  • Financial risks – Have you modeled different rent escalation, TI, and renewal scenarios to stress-test outcomes?
  • Legal and compliance risks – Are there zoning, environmental, or entitlement considerations that could delay occupancy?

Keyser’s AI-enabled analytics platform aggregates and evaluates market and financial data across all property types—office, industrial (warehouse and manufacturing), medical, and retail—so clients can see risk factors and opportunities in real time.

  1. Build Leverage Through a Competitive Process

One of the most common risks in real estate negotiations is lack of leverage. Even experienced companies lose negotiating power when they signal intent too early or narrow their search prematurely.


Keyser’s conflict-free, occupier-only model eliminates bias, ensuring our clients’ interests come first. By creating competition among landlords or sellers, we help reduce financial risk, maximize concessions, and preserve flexibility for the future.

  1. Align Real Estate Decisions With Business Strategy

A space that looks perfect today can become a liability tomorrow if it doesn’t align with broader company goals. Keyser’s advisors partner with leadership teams to model headcount growth, workflow, logistics, and location strategy across all facility types—ensuring that real estate decisions enhance performance, rather than constrain it.

  1. Leverage Technology and Data for Predictive Insight

AI and advanced analytics now make it possible to forecast market trends and tenant outcomes with greater accuracy than ever before. Keyser uses proprietary and third-party data sources to identify patterns in lease comps, construction costs, absorption rates, and regional incentives—helping clients anticipate change and act before risk materializes.

  1. Manage Construction and Move-In Risk Early

Buildouts, permitting, and relocation logistics can be among the most unpredictable phases of the process. To reduce timing and cost risk:

 

  • Establish a clear project management plan early.
  • Vet architects, contractors, and vendors carefully.
  • Build contingency into both budget and timeline.

Keyser’s project management and workplace strategy teams guide clients from concept through move-in, ensuring timelines, budgets, and design objectives stay aligned.

  1. Continuously Monitor and Reassess

Risk management doesn’t end at lease execution. Markets evolve, and operational needs shift. Proactive portfolio reviews, benchmarking of occupancy costs, and regular evaluation of lease terms allow companies to stay ahead of risk rather than react to it.

 


 

Frequently Asked Questions:

Q: What are the biggest risks companies face when making commercial real estate decisions?
A: Common risks include market timing (rent and vacancy trends moving against you), operational misalignment (space that can’t support future headcount or technology), financial exposure (rent escalations, TI, and renewal terms not stress-tested), legal and entitlement delays (zoning, environmental, or permitting issues), and loss of leverage during negotiations. These risks are predictable and can be mitigated with early strategic planning and competitive leverage.
Q: How can businesses reduce risk before signing a lease or selecting a site?
A: Risk mitigation begins before touring space. A structured process should include a full risk assessment, AI-informed market and financial modeling, creation of a competitive process to preserve leverage, and alignment of the real estate strategy with long-term business goals. When done early, this approach prevents costly commitments and protects operational flexibility.
Q: How does Keyser help companies manage real estate risk more effectively than traditional brokers?
A: Keyser operates as a conflict-free occupier-only advocate, ensuring no incentives are tied to landlords. The firm applies AI-enabled analytics to forecast market and financial outcomes, builds competitive tension to maximize concessions, aligns real estate with business strategy, and provides project management through buildout and move-in. This reduces economic, timing, and operational risk across the full lifecycle of the decision.
 
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Jonathan Keyser

Jonathan Keyser is the Founder and Managing Partner of Keyser Commercial Real Estate, which has become the largest commercial real estate firm of its kind in Arizona. Jonathan is also a Founding Partner of Exis Global, which today has over 580 people worldwide exclusively representing occupiers of commercial real estate. He is also the founder of a small investment fund that invests in emerging technology companies within Arizona, supporting and helping to grow the state's startup ecosystem. Jonathan was named “The Commercial Real Estate Disruptor” by USA Today. He is a #1 Wall Street Journal Best Selling Author, for his book, “You Don’t Have to be Ruthless to Win”. Jonathan is a highly sought-after keynote speaker, is widely recognized as a thought leader, has been featured in hundreds of articles, publications, and podcasts, and has been named a “Top 20 Virtual Keynote Speaker” nationally. As an entrepreneur, Jonathan has built Keyser into an eight-figure firm, which was named one of the Top 50 Most Trustworthy Companies in America by The Silicon Review. Jonathan is also one of the most connected business leaders in Arizona. He is an active member of Greater Phoenix Leadership, Young Presidents Organization (YPO), Chief Executive Organization (ceo), and the Million Dollar Speaking Group (MDSG) within the National Speakers Association (NSA). With almost 30 years of experience in the Commercial Real Estate Industry, Jonathan’s firm represents occupiers of space exclusively, both domestically and internationally across a broad range of industries. Jonathan is sought out by companies worldwide for his expertise in real estate and business acumen. He is particularly skilled at identifying creative strategies to align real estate with business requirements, designing and implementing unique solutions to complex real estate challenges, and resolving landlord-tenant conflicts where negotiations have deteriorated due to rising hostilities. Jonathan is happily married to his wife, Susanna, and has six children. His mission is to change the business community through selfless service, and his entire firm is built upon this philosophy. Jonathan is known throughout the business community as someone who loves to help others and who goes out of his way to be of service to people across the community.

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